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Sovereign Wealth Funds and Faith in the USD

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It is true that most sovereign wealth funds and global institutional investors have a high allocation to U.S. dollar-denominated assets. This has been the story for the past half century. Second, it has been a difficult time for the U.S. dollar this past decade. With the bailout of financial institutions, mounting federal and state governmental deficits, QE2, high unemployment, two wars, and now the possibility of a block in the augmentation of the debt ceiling, American currency is increasingly being watched like a hawk from foreign governmental investors. In addition, as skilled and unskilled labor prices are priced more efficient in emerging markets versus the United States, it will place a continued drag on the U.S. dollar.

Lastly, the United States cannot exclusively rely on wealth creation from the appreciation of financial and real estate assets over the long haul. Sovereign wealth funds painfully recognize this and learned their lesson from the bankruptcies of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

In the aggregate, sovereign wealth funds are somewhat confident in American multinational businesses. From looking at direct sovereign investments in U.S. equities and U.S oriented external fund manager mandates, we can see the United States is still a viable destination for investment. Furthermore, we see a trend in investing in multinationals, where those companies’ incomes are not solely coming from the United States.

Not all sovereign funds and central banks are confident in the US government’s handling of currency and fiscal policy. In fact the Chinese government warns of excessive risks of U.S. assets, as the dollar keeps falling versus other currencies. The loose monetary policy is stimulating global inflation and asset bubbles, especially in commodities like silver. In November 2010, Russia and China renounced the U.S. dollar in terms of using their own currencies in bilateral trade.

It is true the United States has taken the position of an expansionary monetary and fiscal policy to encourage economic growth; however these economic policies come at a price, which includes higher interest payments and more debt. The Qatar Investment Authority sees the U.S. dollar’s weakness as a driver of its investment policy. Even if the United States can pull off some real economic growth, it will be hindered by incoming inflation.

Sovereign wealth funds across the board are looking at sectors that have a hedge against the American economy. One sector is commodities, which some favorite types include oil, natural gas, gold, silver, and agriculture. In particular, Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds see it as a win-win, especially in agriculture, since those countries are in dire need of sustaining food supplies. In addition, over the long term as the population of India and China grow and their tastes and preferences alter for more prepared foods, food prices will rise. The Qatar Investment Authority, Kuwait Investment Authority, and even Temasek Holdings have been active investors in food companies.

What is saving the dollar is that there are very little alternatives to it. The euro and Japanese yen have their own issues, precious metals can bubble up, and other currencies lack liquidity.

Norway GPFG Would Prioritize Value in Tesla Stake

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Sovereign wealth fund giant Norway Government Pension Fund Global (GPFG) is an investor in Tesla, holding a 0.48% stake at the end of 2017. GPFG owns roughly 1.4% of all globally listed company shares, minus stocks from its exclusion pool. [ Content protected for Sovereign Wealth Fund Institute Standard subscribers only. Please subscribe to view content. ]

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Anbang Insurance Set to Sell its US Luxury Portfolio

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Distressed Beijing-based holding company Anbang Insurance Group is set to sell its U.S. luxury hotel properties, which were purchased for US$ 5.5 billion from the Blackstone Group in 2016. This is a move to raise quick cash, following the firm’s seizure at the hands of the Chinese government six months ago. Bids had already been ongoing for selected properties, including the famed Essex House Hotel, overlooking Manhattan’s Central Park. The portfolio of hotels is strategically placed in geographically diverse regions, including Miami and Chicago. Anbang is looking to cash in on the properties quickly, as its properties in China are already being liquidated. [ Content protected for Sovereign Wealth Fund Institute Standard subscribers only. Please subscribe to view content. ]

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Norway GPFG Returns 1.8% for Second Quarter of 2018

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Norway’s Government Pension Fund Global (GPFG) returned 1.8% for the second quarter of 2018. Listed equity investments generated a 2.7% return for the period, while fixed income returned 0%. Unlisted real estate investments posted a 1.9% return for the second quarter. In addition, the Norwegian krone depreciated against the U.S. dollar during the quarter. Furthermore, 2 billion NOK was withdrawn from the fund.

“North American and European stocks had a positive development in the quarter despite the prospect of increased trade barriers. This made a positive contribution to the fund’s return,” says Trond Grande, Deputy CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management, according to the press release.

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