Top 10 Sovereign Wealth Fund Game-Changers of 2011
In general, 2011 was a tough year for sovereign investors. A major lack of public investor confidence combined with structural economic issues coming to roost depressed valuations in capital markets. Our staff has compiled a list of the top ten game-changers that will set the tone for sovereign wealth funds in 2012.
10.) Continual Low-Yield Environment – Pushing Allocation
Central banks and sovereign wealth funds are dealing with a low-yield fixed income environment. We saw a trend of the nearly full migration out of American MBS towards safe haven sovereign debt such as the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Credit funds are generating major buzz. Bottom line – Liquidity – Safety – Flight
Gold markets stayed liquid throughout the financial crisis.
Gold is up this year and it is seen mostly as an inflation hedge. Many sovereign investors have exposure to gold in ways such as funds, investing in gold mining companies, and derivatives. A few governments have actually purchased physical gold. The Qatar Investment Authority created a sovereign wealth enterprise to invest in gold, commodities, and other metals. Some investors see gold as comparable to a bond that never matures.
8.) Real Estate (Europe & U.S.)
Norway’s GPFG pulled the trigger in real estate. Granted they look expensive, core real estate in the United States and Europe are seen as a safe inflation hedge and cash flow generator. In 2012, we might see a more substantial move out of the “popular” markets such as London and Paris to secondary markets.
7.) Private Equity and the Sovereign Investor Relationship
Co-investment deals are increasing in frequency creating indirect competition for private equity firms. Private equity firm investing is a growing strategy among larger sovereign wealth funds and public pension funds. The secondary market is appealing to SWFs allocated in alternatives. More and more governments are creating joint venture country funds.
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